On meteorological forecasts for energy management and large historical data: A first look

Authors

  • Cyril Voyant Author
  • Cédric Join Author
  • Michel Fliess Author
  • Marie-Laure Nivet Author
  • Marc Muselli Author
  • Christophe Paoli Author

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.24084/repqj13.214

Keywords:

Meteorology, forecasting, time series, trend, quick fluctuations, persistence, big data, multilayer perceptron

Abstract

This communication is devoted to a com-parison between various meteorological forecasts, for the pur-pose of energy management, via different time series tech-niques. The first group of methods necessitates a large num-ber of historical data. The second one does not and is mucheasier to implement, although its performances are todayonly slightly inferior. Theoretical justifications are related tomethods stemming from a new approach to time series, artifi-cial neural networks, computational intelligence and machinelearning. Several numerical simulations are provided and dis-cussed.

Author Biographies

  • Cyril Voyant

    SPE (CNRS, UMR 6134), Università di Corsica Pasquale Paoli

    20250 Corte, France

    2- Hôpital de Castelluccio, Unité de Radiothérapie

    BP 85, 20177 Ajaccio, France.

    voyant@alien-sas.com

  • Cédric Join

    CRAN (CNRS, UMR 7039), Université de Lorraine

    BP 239, 54506 Vandœuvre-lès-Nancy, France.

    AL.I.E.N. (ALgèbre pour Identification & Estimation Numériques)

    24-30 rue Lionnois, BP 60120, 54003 Nancy, France

     Projet NON-A, INRIA Lille – Nord-Europe, France

  • Michel Fliess

    LIX (CNRS, UMR 7161), École polytechnique

    91128 Palaiseau, France

    5- AL.I.E.N. (ALgèbre pour Identification & Estimation Numériques)

    24-30 rue Lionnois, BP 60120, 54003 Nancy, France

  • Marie-Laure Nivet

    SPE (CNRS, UMR 6134), Università di Corsica Pasquale Paoli

    20250 Corte, France

  • Marc Muselli

    SPE (CNRS, UMR 6134), Università di Corsica Pasquale Paoli

    20250 Corte, France

  • Christophe Paoli

    Département de Génie Informatique, Université Galatasaray

    No: 36 34357 Ortakoy, Istanbul, Turkey

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Published

2024-01-12

Issue

Section

Articles