A new Measure-Correlate-Predict Wind Resource Prediction method

Authors

  • C. Skittides Author
  • W.-G. Früh Author

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.24084/repqj13.4255

Keywords:

Wind Energy, Wind Resource, Measure-Correlate-Predict, Singular-Systems Analysis

Abstract

We present a new MCP method to estimate the wind resource at a target site based on a short set of concurrent measurements from that site and a reference site for which also a long historical wind speed record is available. The method derives from time-series analysis methods used in nonlinear dynamical systems and uses Singular Systems Analysis to define the optimum correlation between the target and reference site, which is then used to build the model used for estimating the target site resource. The performance of this method is then applied to a set of Met.Office date from Scotland and benchmarked a basic linear-regression MCP.

Author Biographies

  • C. Skittides

    Institute of Mechanical, Process and Energy Engineering,

    School of Engineering and Physical Sciences

    Heriot-Watt University

    Riccarton, Edinburgh EH14 4AS (UK)

    Phone number:+0044 131 4514374, Fax number:+0044 131 4513129, e-mail: cs261@hw.ac.uk

  • W.-G. Früh

    Institute of Mechanical, Process and Energy Engineering,

    School of Engineering and Physical Sciences

    Heriot-Watt University

    Riccarton, Edinburgh EH14 4AS (UK)

    Phone number:+0044 131 4514374, Fax number:+0044 131 4513129, e-mail:  w.g.fruh@hw.ac.uk

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Published

2024-01-12

Issue

Vol. 13 No. 5 (2015)

Section

Articles