Short-term hourly load forecasting of a hospital using an artificial neural network

Authors

  • D. Morinigo-Sotelo Author
  • O. Duque-Perez Author
  • L.A. Garcia-Escudero Author
  • M. Fernandez-Temprano Author
  • P. Fraile-Llorente Author
  • M.V. Riesco-Sanz Author
  • A.L. Zorita-Lamadrid Author

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.24084/repqj09.355

Abstract

Electricity demand forecasting is important for utilities and for some costumers. It allows to balance energy production and consumption. From the costumer point of view, it is essential for efficient operation, sizing of installation, maintenance scheduling, to name just a few. Load forecasting is a difficult task and there are many tools available to perform it. Among them, Artificial Neural Networks are receiving a lot of attention because it is not needed to know any relationship between the involved variables. But, they are constructed as black boxes, what is one their drawbacks. In this paper, some results of the load demand forecasting of a hospital are shown. It is important the previous statistical analysis of the load curves and how the results are improved adding new information to the training data set, as maximum and minimum daily temperatures.

Author Biographies

  • D. Morinigo-Sotelo

    Department of Electrical Engineering E.I.I. (Sede Paseo del Cauce), University of Valladolid c/ Paseo del Cauce 59, 47011 Valladolid (Spain) Phone number:+0034 983 184407, e-mail: morinigo@eis.uva.es

  • O. Duque-Perez

    Department of Electrical Engineering

    E.I.I. (Sede Paseo del Cauce), University of Valladolid

    c/ Paseo del Cauce 59, 47011 Valladolid (Spain)

    Phone number:+0034 983 184407,

  • L.A. Garcia-Escudero

    Department of Statistics and Operational Research,

    E.I.I. (Sede Paseo del Cauce), University of Valladolid

    c/ Paseo del Cauce 59, 47011 Valladolid (Spain)

    Phone number:+0034 983 184397, e-mail: lagarcia@eio.uva.es

  • M. Fernandez-Temprano

    Department of Statistics and Operational Research,

    E.I.I. (Sede Paseo del Cauce), University of Valladolid

    c/ Paseo del Cauce 59, 47011 Valladolid (Spain)

    Phone number:+0034 983 184397

  • P. Fraile-Llorente

    Department of Electrical Engineering

    E.I.I. (Sede Paseo del Cauce), University of Valladolid

    c/ Paseo del Cauce 59, 47011 Valladolid (Spain)

    Phone number:+0034 983 184407

  • M.V. Riesco-Sanz

    1 Department of Electrical Engineering

    E.I.I. (Sede Paseo del Cauce), University of Valladolid

    c/ Paseo del Cauce 59, 47011 Valladolid (Spain)

    Phone number:+0034 983 184407

  • A.L. Zorita-Lamadrid

    Department of Electrical Engineering

    E.I.I. (Sede Paseo del Cauce), University of Valladolid

    c/ Paseo del Cauce 59, 47011 Valladolid (Spain)

    Phone number:+0034 983 184407

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Published

2024-01-17

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Section

Articles